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Like other prediction markets, Kalshi lets users make trades based on a variety of different subjects and events. For example, you could participate in a market focused on the results of a basketball game, or something more unusual, like who'll win the current season of Survivor. Despite resembling gambling, online predictive markets aren't currently regulated by state gambling laws, and instead classify bets as a type of futures contract, placing them under the purview of the CFTC. That hasn't stopped states from trying to regulate prediction markets anyway. For example, Nevada sued Kalshi for operating a sports gambling market without a permit earlier in February.
Net international migration to the U.S. peaked at 2.7 million new entries in 2024, but has since sharply declined. It fell to 1.3 million last summer, according to January Census data, and then turned net negative, according to research from Brookings, meaning more people are leaving the U.S. than coming in. The private sector has weighed in, too, with Goldman Sachs economists reporting last week that immigration policies put in place over the past year have resulted in an 80% decline in net migration relative to the historical average.